Gluck: What adds more value? Goal Scored or Goal Prevented?

With soccer statistical analysis growing daily, a longer headline might be:  What do the tea leaves show about team performance measurements in Major League Soccer?  Does the goal prevented show greater value, relative to points earned, than the goal scored? Even that's a bit wordy though... maybe it's... Soccer Statistics:  What does "right" look like now? If you read The Numbers Game:... Continue Reading →

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Road Warriors – Seattle Sounders

The Seattle Sounders have one of the most advanced statistics programs in Major League Soccer.  And while I don't have a specific gauge that tracks the effectiveness and efficiency of their statistical analysis it's a good bet their approach has had some level of influence in how their organization performed this year. NOTE: Given recent... Continue Reading →

MLS – Reading the Tea Leaves and Predicting Week 20 Outcomes…

A full slate of games for Week 20 that started off with a smashing win by San Jose over a very shabby Chicago - were you surprised; you shouldn't have been.  Chicago Fire have the worst average in overall team defensive performance of any team in MLS this year  - and it certainly doesn't get better... Continue Reading →

CPWP Predictability versus MLS Results (Week 18 and 19)

Having been away on business last week I was unable to publish last weeks predictability versus reality results; in catching up here's how things went in Week 18 and Week 19 versus the Composite Possession with Purpose Predictability Index (CPWP PI); excluding the Chivas USA v DC United match later this evening. To begin here's... Continue Reading →

Are Seattle Sounders and Sporting KC simply too strong?

Plenty of action these past two weeks in Major League Soccer - the most telling is the huge lead in points that Seattle holds over all the other teams in a very competitive Western Conference. Not to be outdone, in the Eastern Conference, it appears Sporting KC have also begun to open up an insurmountable... Continue Reading →

Reflections of MLS Week 16; Predictable or not??? And what about Chivas USA these last three games… anything there in PWP to see?

As you know I've attempted to create a Predictability Index (PI) from my Possession with Purpose (PWP) analysis.  Here's a link in case you missed the first article on PWP Predictability. Before looking at the overall results here's a reminder on where all the teams stand after 17 weeks: Not every team has played 18... Continue Reading →

Possession with Purpose – Predictability Indices – Major League Soccer

After some superb discussion at the World Conference on Science and Soccer folks, including myself and others from Prozone Sports plus a Soccer analyst from a notable European Football Club, agreed that the potential for the PWP Index to tranform into a predictability Index was reasonable. To do this we agreed that Goals Scored needed... Continue Reading →

MLS Possession with Purpose Week 13 – Plenty of surprises…

Some stunners and bummers this week for plenty of soccer supporters across North America; who'da thought Montreal would get a clean sheet against New England and Real Salt Lake would get completely schooled by Seattle... Others like Philadelphia reinforced they do not want to be a bottom dweller, as some suspect this year, by beating up on... Continue Reading →

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